VA Loan Network logo
  • Home
  • Apply Now
  • VA Loans
    • Programs
    • Today’s Rate
    • VA Guide
    • Refinance
    • Requirements
    • Benefits
    • State Guides
    • Calculator
  • Resources
    • Bases
    • Pay Center
    • BAH Rates
  • Learn
  • About Us
    • About Us
    • Contact Us

The #1 Trusted Source for Veterans and Service Members

va loan network logo

SAME DAY APPROVAL

No Money Down, Low Interest Rates, No Mortgage Insurance

Check Your Eligibility

first lead form

"*" indicates required fields

Are you looking to purchase or refinance?
What is your goal?
Are you or your spouse retired or active military?
Active Military or Retired?
Are you receiving military retirement or VA Disability pay
Have you received PCS orders?
Where are you in the buying process?
Are you working with a real estate agent?
$350k - $400k
$0
$2m +
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
Is this the first use of your VA entitlement?
What is your credit score?
Do you currently have a home to sell?
Do you currently have a VA loan on your property?*
$350k-$400k
$0
$2m +
$200k - $250k
$0
$2m +
$100k -$120k
What is the rate on your loan ?

Enter your contact details

Name*

By providing your name, email, and phone number, you consent to receive calls and texts from our VA loan specialists and lenders regarding your application. Message and data rates may apply. Your information will be used solely for this purpose. You can opt out at any time.

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Trump Seen as Better for Stocks, Harris for Housing

by Ally Abernathy | Oct 29, 2024 | News

donald trump

Last updated on February 14th, 2025 at 12:30 am

As the 2024 election approaches, a Bloomberg survey has highlighted a distinct economic divide in the expectations for a Trump versus a Harris presidency.

According to respondents, a Trump victory would likely benefit stock market and gold prices, while a Harris administration is viewed as more favorable for housing costs.

The survey results reveal varied levels of confidence in potential economic changes based on each candidate’s perceived strengths.

This article dives into these insights, examining recent trends in both the stock market and the housing sector to help clarify these predictions.

AI Logo Your Article Summary
Paragraph Bullet Points

In this Article

  • Stock Market Expectations Under Trump
  • Key Data on Stock Market Trends (2024)
  • Housing Sector Preferences for Harris
  • Current Housing Data and Projections
  • How the Election Could Impact Markets?
  • Additional Economic Factors
  • Historical Election Market Impact
  • Presidential Impact on Stocks and Housing
  • FAQs

Stock Market Expectations Under Trump

Many respondents associate former President Trump’s economic stance with favorable stock market conditions. According to Bloomberg, 38% of survey participants see the potential for accelerated stock market gains under Trump, compared to 13% under Harris. The stock market’s performance during Trump’s first term, including steady increases in the S&P 500, likely shapes these opinions.

  • Stock Market Trends: The S&P 500 is currently up around 22% year-to-date, showcasing investor optimism, even amid inflation concerns. Many analysts attribute stock market resilience to Trump’s deregulation policies in his previous term.
  • Gold Prices: The survey also indicates that 57% expect gold prices to rise if Trump wins, suggesting increased demand for this safe-haven asset amidst potential market volatility.

Key Data on Stock Market Trends (2024)

MetricYear-to-Date IncreaseProjected Growth Under TrumpProjected Growth Under Harris
S&P 50022%+15% (Surveyed Avg)+8% (Surveyed Avg)
NASDAQ18%+12%+7%
Gold Prices$1,900/oz+5-10%Stable

“Trump’s policy stance on corporate taxation and deregulation has historically aligned well with stock market growth. Given the current trends, the market may see a faster pace of gains if Trump returns to the White House,” explains Mark Stanton, Chief Economist at Wealth Insight Group.

Housing Sector Preferences for Harris

On the other hand, survey participants anticipate that a Harris presidency would better address the housing affordability crisis—a priority issue for many Americans facing rising mortgage rates and home prices.

  • Mortgage Rates: Respondents projected that under Harris, mortgage rates could fall to a median of 5.5% by the end of her term, compared to 5.9% under Trump.
  • Housing Affordability: Harris’s focus on affordable housing initiatives resonates with those looking to purchase homes. Her policies are perceived as more favorable for new buyers, with respondents expecting potential government subsidies for low-income housing.

Current Housing Data and Projections

FactorCurrent Rate/PriceProjected Rate Under HarrisProjected Rate Under Trump
30-Year Fixed Mortgage6.54%5.5%5.9%
Median Home Price (2024)$416,000+3% increase+5% increase
Housing AffordabilityLowImprovedModerate

“A Harris administration could bring more focus to housing affordability, with policy adjustments targeted at first-time buyers and lower mortgage rates,” says Carla Peterson, Senior Housing Analyst at American Realty Consultants.

How the Election Could Impact Markets?

While these projections illustrate voters’ perspectives on specific sectors, historical data shows no consistent long-term relationship between election outcomes and market performance. A U.S. Bank analysis suggests that broader economic trends, including inflation and employment rates, often outweigh political shifts in determining stock market and housing trends.

Despite this, investor sentiment remains closely tied to potential policy changes. Notably:

  • Interest Rates: Harris’s policies are associated with potentially lower mortgage rates and affordable housing, which would positively impact the real estate market.
  • Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies: The survey suggests Trump is seen as more favorable for Bitcoin, with market participants citing his pro-business stance as beneficial for emerging asset classes.

Additional Economic Factors

Economic FactorTrump’s ImpactHarris’s Impact
InflationModerateHigher control focus
Job GrowthStrongSteady
CryptocurrencyFavorableUnclear

Insight: “The economy is multifaceted, and while election outcomes may sway investor sentiment temporarily, long-term impacts are often determined by global economic cycles,” explains Todd Jensen, Portfolio Manager at FinancePlus.

Historical Election Market Impact

Past elections have often triggered notable shifts in the stock market and housing trends, influenced by campaign promises or anticipated policy changes. Historically, markets tend to react strongly to perceived pro-business or regulatory policies from incoming administrations, though broader economic trends also play a crucial role.

  • Reagan (1980): Pro-business, tax cuts boosted market confidence; stocks rose over his tenure.
  • Clinton (1992): Economic recovery saw strong market growth, with significant S&P gains.
  • Obama (2008): Housing crisis response and market recovery post-2008; slow but steady stock gains.
  • Trump (2016): Deregulation and corporate tax cuts initially fueled market rally.

Presidential Impact on Stocks and Housing

PresidentYear ElectedStock Market ImpactHousing Trends
Ronald Reagan1980Strong growth due to tax cutsMixed; high mortgage rates
Bill Clinton1992Bull market, S&P growthSteady home price growth
Barack Obama2008Recovery post-crisisIncreased affordability initiatives
Donald Trump2016Initial rally with tax cutsHome price growth; low rates

This historical context shows how market expectations shift based on policy directions, highlighting why some investors favor certain candidates for stock growth or housing affordability.

FAQs

What economic areas could Trump improve if elected?

Trump is expected to benefit the stock market, cryptocurrency, and potentially gold prices. However, the broader economy’s reaction would depend on his policies on taxes, deregulation, and international trade.

How might Kamala Harris’s policies impact housing?

Harris’s policies are perceived as supportive of housing affordability, with potential adjustments in mortgage rates, particularly for first-time homebuyers. Her approach may prioritize government-subsidized housing.

Will a Trump or Harris administration affect interest rates?

Both candidates have varied impacts on interest rates. Harris is perceived to support lower mortgage rates, while Trump’s policies may focus more on stock market growth.

How have past presidential elections impacted the stock market?

Historically, the stock market doesn’t show consistent patterns based on election outcomes. Economic trends like inflation and employment rates often play larger roles in stock performance.

Which candidate is viewed as better for cryptocurrency?

Survey participants generally favor Trump for cryptocurrency, attributing his policies to a more pro-business stance that may benefit digital asset markets.

Could a Harris presidency improve housing affordability?

Yes, respondents feel that Harris’s focus on affordable housing would benefit the sector. Her policies may include subsidies and support for low-income housing, benefiting new buyers.

What are some projected trends in housing under each candidate?

Under Harris, mortgage rates are expected to drop to 5.5% on average, while home prices may see a lower increase rate. Trump is associated with slightly higher mortgage rates but stable home prices.

Are stock market returns directly linked to election outcomes?

No, while election outcomes can influence sentiment, long-term returns are more closely tied to inflation, interest rates, and broader economic trends.

Related Posts

impact of election on mortgage ratesThe Impact of Election Uncertainty on Mortgage Rates donald trumpWill the 2024 Election Finally Bring Homebuyers Off the Sidelines? how elections historically affect mortgage ratesHow Presidential Elections Historically Impact Mortgage Rates how election will affect housing marketHow the Election Will Affect the Housing Industry donald trumpHow a Trump Presidency Would Affect the Housing Market donald trumpHow a Trump Win Could Impact Housing Policy in 2025

Latest Articles

  • How Your Credit Score Impacts VA Loan Rates
    How Your Credit Score Impacts VA Loan Rates
  • Rent vs. Buy for Active-Duty Service Members
    Rent vs. Buy for Active-Duty Service Members: How VA Loans Shift the Equation
  • New Real Estate Commission Rules VA Loan
    New Real Estate Commission Rules on VA Loans: What Veterans Need to Know
  • VA Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loans
    Why You Should Avoid VA Adjustable Rate VA Home Loans
  • $6,000 Grants for Veteran Homebuyers
    $6,000 Grants for Veteran Homebuyers: Your Guide to Assistance
  • Is the VA Funding Fee Tax Deductible?
    Is the VA Funding Fee Tax Deductible?
  • First vs. Subsequent VA Loan Use
    First vs. Subsequent VA Loan Use Explained
  • 2025 VA Loan Rates Are Lower Than Conventional Loans
    2025 VA Loan Rates Are Lower Than Conventional Loans
  • White House Reverses Trump’s Veterans Day Renaming Proposal
    White House Reverses Trump’s Veterans Day Renaming Proposal
  • Less Competitive Housing Market in 2025 Benefits Veterans
    Less Competitive Housing Market in 2025 Benefits Veterans
  • va Non-Allowable Fees
    Non-Allowable Fees for VA Home Loans
  • Understanding the Closing Disclosure on a VA Loan
    Understanding the Closing Disclosure on a VA Loan
  • Understanding the Loan Estimate on a VA Loan
    Understanding the Loan Estimate on a VA Loan
  • Title Insurance on a VA Loan
    Title Insurance on a VA Loan: The Ultimate Guide for Veterans

Our Latest Article

How Your Credit Score Impacts VA Loan Rates

How Your Credit Score Impacts VA Loan Rates

VA Loans

  • VA Loan Guide
  • VA Benefits
  • Credit Requirements
  • Loan Requirements
  • First-time Homebuyers
  • VA Loan Process
  • VA Certificate of Eligibility

About Us

    • Apply Now
    • About Us
    • Contact Us
    • Legal Disclosures

 

Follow Us

  • Follow
  • Follow
  • Follow

Our Blog

  • Learn
  • VA Loans
  • Mortgage
  • Real Estate
  • Trends
  • Veteran Life
  • News
  • Credit

Copyright © 2025  VA Loan Network

3128 Napier Pk Shavano Park, TX 78231 Phone: (800) 230-7201 Email: [email protected]

Pin It on Pinterest

Share This
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Pinterest
  • Tumblr
  • Like